Showing posts with label tax credit. Show all posts
Showing posts with label tax credit. Show all posts

Thursday, November 12, 2009

First time home buyer credit extended and expanded



Late last week President Obama signed an extension of the $8,000 first time home buyer credit.

From the Redfin blog:

"...President Obama signed new legislation extending the deadline for the home buyer tax credit into 2010 and expanding it to include current home owners who are looking to buy a primary residence.

The Basic Requirements

You qualify for the tax credit if the:

  • Home you’re buying will be your primary residence
  • Purchase price isn’t more than $800,000

This credit is not a loan; it’s yours, but keep in mind you have to live in your new home for three years. If you sell the home in less than three years, you’ll have to pay back the money.

What’s Changed?

With the new legislation, buyers have more time to find a home and more buyers are eligible for the tax credit:

  • New deadline: To qualify, you need to be in contract with a seller by April 30th & close on the home by June 30th (The previous deadline was November 30, 2009).
  • Not just for first-time buyers anymore: Home buyers who’ve owned and occupied a home for at least five consecutive years during the past eight years are eligible for a credit up to $6,500.
  • Increased income limits: Individuals making less than $125,000 and couples making less than $225,000 are eligible (The limits used to be $75K & $150K).

First-time buyers are eligible for a credit up to $8,000 on homes purchased between January 1, 2009 and June 30, 2010. Qualified homeowners can a credit up to $6,500 on homes purchased between November 7, 2009 and June 30, 2010."

This should help keep sales moving through the winter. But the question is how long will they keep propping up the market before letting it return to "normal".

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Wednesday, August 26, 2009

Portland existing home prices up slightly in June - Case Shiller

The latest Case Shiller data was released yesterday, and prices in Portland have ticked up 1% from May to June.

Year over year we're still down 15.2% and we're down 20.4% from the peak.

It looks like the $8k credit might be having an effect, but it's still a bit premature to signal the bottom.

Tune in later for full charts / analysis, but the raw data is available above for the data hounds out there.

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Friday, February 6, 2009

Politicians Wanted - Math Skills Not Required.

Apparently math is not a required subject for politicians. As this post points out, even the most basic back-of-the-lobbyists-cocktail napkin calculation shows a price that's almost 4x higher than the number's being thrown around.

"Somehow, Isakson puts the cost of his tax break at just $19 billion. Let's break the Washington rules and try a little arithmetic. Even with weakness in the housing market, it is still virtually certain that we will sell close to 5 million homes in 2009. The overwhelming majority would qualify for the full credit. So, we get 5 million times $15,000. That sounds a lot like $75 billion."
Even if we assume the average house is only worth $100k, so the average credit will be $10k, that's still $50B not $19B.

Seriously, how do we let these people "represent" us? If the credit will work, fine, but let's put a real price on it not some made up number.

If anyone has any insights into their calculations I'd love to see them.

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Saturday, October 11, 2008

10% off Any House Nationwide! - Except Portland

This truly smacks of desperation. As featured in the Portland Business Journal, "NW markets just say no" Caldwell Banker is trying to run a national promotion for 10% off any house listed with them. However the PNW STILL thinks that we are immune, and not in as bad a shape as the rest of the country, even as prices have dropped over 7% and continue to fall.

"The Portland and Seattle affiliates of Coldwell Banker Corp. are refusing to participate in a nationwide sales promotion designed to push the housing market past the “tipping point” to recovery.

Starting today, Parsippany, N.J.-based Coldwell Banker is pushing a 10-day sales event, boasting 10 percent discounts on the price for homes listed for sale with Coldwell Banker affiliates. The campaign is being promoted nationwide, leading to confusion in markets where franchisees are refusing to participate.

In the Northwest, Coldwell Banker affiliates in both Portland and Seattle say the “sale” undercuts the role of professional agents and aren’t participating. Not only must agents take a cut in commission, but sellers receive 10 percent less than their asking price.

Gail Fisher, president of Coldwell Banker Barbara Sue Seal Properties, which has about 440 agents in the Portland area, said the national sales event is inappropriate.

“We feel that every situation for pricing for a property is very individual,” she said. “I feel it sells short the services we have to offer for our clients.”

An across-the-board 10 percent price cut isn’t right for every property and ignores the professional skills agents bring to the table when they list homes and work with sellers to set realistic prices."

There are so many things wrong with the story I don't know where to start. But I'll try.

"Starting today, Parsippany, N.J.-based Coldwell Banker is pushing a 10-day sales event, boasting 10 percent discounts on the price for homes listed for sale with Coldwell Banker affiliates. The campaign is being promoted nationwide, leading to confusion in markets where franchisees are refusing to participate."
First off, from a marketing perspective, if it's being promoted as a national promotion, it truly has to be a national promotion. Consumers aren't stupid, they can see through false claims. And you'll need a lot more than 10 days to blow out the 9+ months of inventory we're currently sitting on.
"In the Northwest, Coldwell Banker affiliates in both Portland and Seattle say the “sale” undercuts the role of professional agents and aren’t participating. Not only must agents take a cut in commission, but sellers receive 10 percent less than their asking price."
Here are the two big issues. Sellers still haven't accepted the new pricing rules, and are chasing the market down. Realtors can't do the math that says that any sale at any price is better than none, or Anything > Zero.

“We feel that every situation for pricing for a property is very individual,” she said. “I feel it sells short the services we have to offer for our clients.”

An across-the-board 10 percent price cut isn’t right for every property and ignores the professional skills agents bring to the table when they list homes and work with sellers to set realistic prices."

So Gail, just how successful have you been when it comes to setting realistic prices? If prices were set properly we wouldn't be sitting on 9 months of inventory right?

"However, Fisher said the Northwest housing market has not stalled to the same degree as the more bubble-prone regions of the country, namely Florida and California. A sale might work in a market where prices have collapsed."

Sigh, still repeating the "we didn't have a bubble mantra" Gail? For anybody that still thinks we didn't experience a bubble, here once again is proof that we did. And while the PNW is late to the party, we're definitely at the party now.

"In Metro Portland, the median price of homes sold in August was $280,000, down about 7.3 percent from this time a year ago, according to the Regional Multiple Listing Service. Any drop in price results in a corresponding drop in the commission paid to the agents who broker the eventual sale."

This comment hides the real issue. While prices are only down 7%, sales are down over 30%, so total commissions are down over 35%. Look at what's happening to the auto industry with 30% drop in sales and you'll understand why real estate agents are freaking out. Many are making no money, and the rest are making much less. Only a few creative real estate agents who saw the impending meltdown and have changed their strategy are making any more money.

"In a video explaining the sales event, Jim Gillespie, president and chief executive officer of Coldwell Banker Co., said the event will help bring about a recovery in the housing market and help buyers take advantage of a new $7,500 tax credit available for first-time home buyers. The event will help move the market over the “tipping point” to recovery, he said."

Again, just so everyone knows, that $7500 tax "credit" is actually an interest free loan that you much pay back over 10 years. We I can't lie with my marketing but the government can is still beyond me.

"A survey of Coldwell Banker agents in the United States found that 56 percent think prices in their market are too high and that 77 percent believe their sellers have unrealistic expectations about the value of their homes.

Nearly 80 percent said when homes are priced appropriately, they attract buyers and sell faster."

Homes will not only need to be priced right, but buyers will actually need to have a real income and a real deposit. And banks will need to have access to credit to be able to offer loans. We have a long way to go before all that happens.

Thanks to Portland Gentrification for the link.

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